Vorlesungsverzeichnis

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Veranstaltungen von Dr. Christian Grünwald

Lehrveranstaltungen

Exploring Futures: Scenario Development, Future Personas, Wild Cards, and Futures Wheels (Seminar)

Dozent/in: Christian Grünwald, Max Irmer

Inhalt: This seminar provides an intensive, method-focused introduction to the tools of scientific futures studies and strategic foresight. Students will learn and apply a combination of established foresight techniques in a structured process aimed at exploring complex future developments. At the core of the seminar is the morphological scenario analysis, a methodical approach to developing a set of coherent alternative future scenarios. These scenarios will be systematically enriched by creating Future Personas — vivid, relatable characters that embody different aspects of the future worlds developed. To address uncertainties and unexpected disruptions, students will also design additional Wild Card scenarios. These Wild Cards will be generated through the use of Futures Wheels, allowing participants to explore cascading effects of highly improbable but high-impact events. The seminar encourages an interdisciplinary approach, inviting students from various fields to work together and combine analytical rigor with creative thinking. Participants will build a comprehensive understanding of how different methods interlock to generate rich, multidimensional images of the future. The course not only teaches the technical application of foresight methods but also trains participants in complexity handling, systemic thinking, and the communication of future narratives. Through practical exercises, critical reflection, and hands-on development of scenarios, the students will acquire the methodological competence necessary to professionally explore and communicate futures in academic, organizational, and innovation contexts.